Farense Sub 23 vs Leixões Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
20
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 1
SPO
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 0
FAR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
FAR
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 2
EST
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
FAR
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Leixões Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
LEX
55%
20%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 0
RIO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
5 - 4
LEX
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 3
GIL
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 2
MAR
50%
22%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |