Liga Revelação Bottom half of the table round Round 6

Farense U23 vs Leixões U23 analysis

Farense U23 Leixões U23
38 ELO 39
-4.7% Tilt -8.5%
5922º General ELO ranking 7474º
124º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
48.6%
Farense U23
21.7%
Draw
29.7%
Leixões U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
Farense U23
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.7%
Win probability
Leixões U23
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Farense U23
+8%
+47%
Leixões U23

Points and table prediction

Farense U23
Their league position
Leixões U23
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Portimonense U23
31
25
100%
Farense U23
32
25
100%
Gil Vicente U23
32
24
100%
Sporting CP U23
29
23
100%
Leixões U23
20
17
100%
Rio Ave U23
22
16
100%
Maritimo U23
19
13
100%
Mafra U23
15
9
100%
Expected probabilities
Farense U23
Leixões U23
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Farense U23
Leixões U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Farense U23
Farense U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2023
FAR
Farense U23
1 - 1
Sporting CP U23
SPO
56%
20%
24%
39 36 3 0
04 Feb. 2023
GIL
Gil Vicente U23
0 - 0
Farense U23
FAR
72%
17%
11%
39 48 9 0
31 Jan. 2023
MAF
Mafra U23
0 - 1
Farense U23
FAR
48%
22%
30%
38 37 1 +1
17 Jan. 2023
FAR
Farense U23
1 - 2
Estrela Amadora U23
EST
38%
25%
38%
39 42 3 -1
10 Jan. 2023
MAF
Mafra U23
3 - 1
Farense U23
FAR
34%
22%
44%
40 34 6 -1

Matches

Leixões U23
Leixões U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2023
POR
Portimonense U23
1 - 1
Leixões U23
LEX
54%
23%
23%
38 41 3 0
31 Jan. 2023
LEX
Leixões U23
1 - 0
Rio Ave U23
RIO
54%
22%
25%
38 34 4 0
24 Jan. 2023
SPO
Sporting CP U23
5 - 4
Leixões U23
LEX
39%
22%
39%
39 34 5 -1
17 Jan. 2023
LEX
Leixões U23
1 - 3
Gil Vicente U23
GIL
26%
24%
50%
40 47 7 -1
10 Jan. 2023
LEX
Leixões U23
1 - 2
Maritimo U23
MAR
48%
25%
27%
41 38 3 -1