Fano vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAN
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 0
TER
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SSS
0 - 0
FAN
35%
29%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 1
RIC
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BFM
0 - 2
FAN
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SSS
2 - 2
BFM
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
SSS
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SSS
0 - 0
FAN
35%
29%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AVE
2 - 2
SSS
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSS
3 - 0
SSD
48%
26%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |