Serie D Group F Round 31

Fano vs Montegiorgio analysis

Fano Montegiorgio
44 ELO 34
-15.5% Tilt -26.5%
19531º General ELO ranking 38511º
472º Country ELO ranking 1184º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Fano
20.9%
Draw
14.4%
Montegiorgio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Fano
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Win probability
Montegiorgio
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Fano
Their league position
Montegiorgio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
10º
29
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pineto
69
72
100%
Vigor Senigallia
68
68
100%
Trastevere
62
62
100%
Fano
57
58
100%
Cynthialbalonga
49
52
100%
Matese
48
48
100%
Sambenedettese
43
47
84.5%
Porto D'Ascoli
45
45
74.5%
Chieti
44
44
43%
Vastogirardi
10º
42
43
10º
41.5%
Team Nuova Florida
11º
42
43
11º
46.5%
Avezzano
12º
40
40
12º
89.5%
Roma City
13º
37
38
13º
86.5%
Vastese
14º
36
36
14º
86.5%
Termoli Calcio
15º
31
32
15º
31.5%
SN Notaresco 2018
16º
31
32
16º
31.5%
Montegiorgio
17º
29
29
17º
39%
Tolentino
18º
28
29
18º
39%
Expected probabilities
Fano
Montegiorgio
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Fano
Montegiorgio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fano
Fano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
SSS
Sambenedettese
1 - 2
Fano
FAN
46%
29%
26%
42 42 0 0
02 Apr. 2023
FAN
Fano
0 - 1
Vigor Senigallia
VSU
34%
26%
40%
43 46 3 -1
19 Mar. 2023
VAS
Vastogirardi
0 - 1
Fano
FAN
41%
29%
30%
41 40 1 +2
12 Mar. 2023
FAN
Fano
2 - 1
Matese
MAT
39%
27%
34%
40 42 2 +1
05 Mar. 2023
FAN
Fano
5 - 1
Avezzano
AVE
52%
24%
23%
39 35 4 +1

Matches

Montegiorgio
Montegiorgio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
MON
Montegiorgio
0 - 0
Termoli Calcio
TER
27%
24%
49%
34 37 3 0
02 Apr. 2023
ASD
Vastese
2 - 1
Montegiorgio
MON
52%
24%
24%
35 35 0 -1
19 Mar. 2023
MON
Montegiorgio
0 - 2
Roma City
RCF
39%
25%
37%
36 33 3 -1
11 Mar. 2023
POR
Porto D'Ascoli
0 - 0
Montegiorgio
MON
65%
19%
15%
35 41 6 +1
05 Mar. 2023
MON
Montegiorgio
0 - 0
Trastevere
TRA
19%
23%
58%
34 43 9 +1