Fano vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 2
ANC
21%
25%
55%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
FAN
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
FAN
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FAN
3 - 0
ASB
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | +1 |