Fano vs Amiternina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 7
FAN
12%
19%
70%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 0
OLY
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIS
1 - 1
FAN
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAN
2 - 0
RCA
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 2
FAN
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Amiternina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 2
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GIU
1 - 1
AMI
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AMI
3 - 1
ISE
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
AMI
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 2
REC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |