Fanfulla vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
MEZ
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 1
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ADR
3 - 1
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 0
LEN
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
FAN
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 1
PSM
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 0
BRE
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
PSM
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PSM
3 - 2
SAV
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
PSM
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |