Fanfulla vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 1
FAN
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 1
FAN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
FAN
1 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
CAT
3 - 2
FAN
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 1
UNI
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
2 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |