Fanfulla vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 1
FAN
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FAN
3 - 0
CLA
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 2
FAN
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
REG
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AXY
1 - 2
FAN
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AXY
1 - 0
PAV
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
PAV
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 1
MEZ
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
PAV
20%
23%
58%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |