Fancesa vs Independiente Recreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.4%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 1
NAC
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 3
FAN
8%
14%
79%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 2
FAN
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
FAN
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
FAN
5%
12%
83%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Recreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
IND
2 - 3
ATB
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
IND
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
ALE
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
FAN
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATB
6 - 2
IND
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |