Copa Simón Bolívar 1ª Fase. Jor. 10

Fancesa vs Independiente Recreo analysis

Fancesa Independiente Recreo
41 ELO 5
10.1% Tilt -3.8%
27203º General ELO ranking 49306º
38º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
93.4%
Fancesa
5%
Draw
1.6%
Independiente Recreo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
Fancesa
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.7%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5%
1.6%
Win probability
Independiente Recreo
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO progression

Fancesa
Independiente Recreo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fancesa
Fancesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2023
FAN
Fancesa
1 - 1
Nacional Sucre
NAC
93%
5%
2%
42 11 31 0
08 Jul. 2023
ALE
Deportivo Alemán
0 - 3
Fancesa
FAN
7%
13%
81%
41 10 31 +1
25 Jun. 2023
ATB
Atlético Sucre
1 - 2
Fancesa
FAN
7%
13%
80%
41 12 29 0
18 Jun. 2023
IND
Independiente Recreo
0 - 2
Fancesa
FAN
5%
11%
84%
41 6 35 0
11 Jun. 2023
NAC
Nacional Sucre
1 - 1
Fancesa
FAN
5%
11%
84%
42 7 35 -1

Matches

Independiente Recreo
Independiente Recreo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2023
IND
Independiente Recreo
2 - 3
Atlético Sucre
ATB
14%
17%
68%
5 12 7 0
08 Jul. 2023
NAC
Nacional Sucre
4 - 1
Independiente Recreo
IND
76%
14%
10%
5 11 6 0
02 Jul. 2023
IND
Independiente Recreo
0 - 1
Deportivo Alemán
ALE
19%
19%
63%
5 10 5 0
18 Jun. 2023
IND
Independiente Recreo
0 - 2
Fancesa
FAN
5%
11%
84%
6 41 35 -1
11 Jun. 2023
ATB
Atlético Sucre
6 - 2
Independiente Recreo
IND
85%
10%
5%
7 14 7 -1
X