Falset vs Bonavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+218%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falset
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REU
2 - 4
FES
26%
19%
55%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FES
3 - 0
MON
21%
20%
60%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
FES
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
FES
76%
13%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
FES
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bonavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BON
3 - 1
BOR
21%
20%
59%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CUO
0 - 0
BON
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BON
0 - 5
AST
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 1
BON
38%
21%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BON
3 - 2
MPE
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |