Russian Premier League Round 12

Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis

Fakel Shinnik Yaroslavl
64 ELO 68
-18% Tilt -6%
2229º General ELO ranking 3610º
21º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Fakel
29.6%
Draw
32%
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
Fakel
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
32%
Win probability
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fakel
-12%
-10%
Shinnik Yaroslavl

ELO progression

Fakel
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fakel
Fakel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 1997
ZHE
Zhemchuzhina Sochi
1 - 0
Fakel
FAK
58%
23%
19%
65 67 2 0
17 May. 1997
FAK
Fakel
0 - 0
Rotor Volgograd
ROT
17%
25%
58%
65 84 19 0
10 May. 1997
ALA
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2 - 0
Fakel
FAK
78%
15%
7%
65 82 17 0
03 May. 1997
FAK
Fakel
0 - 1
Dinamo Moskva
DIN
17%
25%
59%
65 84 19 0
23 Apr. 1997
FAK
Fakel
1 - 0
Tyumen
TYU
39%
28%
33%
65 67 2 0

Matches

Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 1997
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod
LNN
54%
25%
22%
68 69 1 0
17 May. 1997
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
1 - 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
YAR
75%
17%
8%
67 84 17 +1
10 May. 1997
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 1
FK Rostov
FCR
41%
26%
33%
67 73 6 0
03 May. 1997
BAL
Baltika
1 - 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
YAR
68%
20%
12%
67 74 7 0
23 Apr. 1997
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 - 0
Krylia Sovetov
KRS
49%
26%
24%
67 71 4 0