Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Ardabil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 0
FAJ
27%
30%
43%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FAJ
4 - 1
NAS
65%
23%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAJ
1 - 1
HOR
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
FAJ
1 - 0
EST
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
GIT
0 - 0
FAJ
25%
31%
44%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shahrdari Ardabil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GIT
0 - 0
SHA
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
NIR
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
NAF
1 - 1
SHA
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |