Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
FAJ
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
FAJ
0 - 0
NAT
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SAB
2 - 0
FAJ
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
FAJ
1 - 0
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
DAM
1 - 1
FAJ
34%
31%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
RAH
1 - 5
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EST
0 - 3
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
SAB
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 4
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |