Fagiano Okayama vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
TOK
3 - 0
FAG
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 3
EHI
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GIF
4 - 0
FAG
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
FAG
1 - 0
TOK
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROA
1 - 1
FAG
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
THE
0 - 1
TOC
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 1
THE
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
THE
2 - 4
CER
20%
24%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
SAG
4 - 2
THE
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
THE
0 - 3
VEG
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |