Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
KAT
1 - 1
FAG
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EHI
1 - 0
FAG
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
FAG
3 - 1
SHO
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
FAG
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FAG
2 - 0
KAT
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
YOK
32%
26%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ROA
3 - 1
AVI
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
TOK
1 - 1
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AVI
4 - 2
FUF
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |