Fagerborg vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagerborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
SKA
3 - 2
FBK
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
FBK
0 - 3
FKT
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
BAE
2 - 1
FBK
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
FBK
2 - 4
ETO
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BIR
61%
19%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LOM
0 - 0
MOD
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 5
MJO
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AIF
0 - 1
MOD
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AIF
2 - 1
MOD
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |