Fafe vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
59%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
6º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
FAF
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VIA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
2 - 1
NAC
7%
14%
80%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
FAF
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VSC
2 - 6
FAF
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AVE
2 - 1
VAR
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEN
13%
18%
68%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |