Fafe vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 0
FAF
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 1
SMA
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 3
BEL
9%
16%
75%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 0
BRI
90%
8%
3%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
FEL
2 - 1
FAF
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TIR
2 - 0
MON
83%
13%
5%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 3
PEV
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 1
TIR
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
TIR
7%
15%
77%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TIR
1 - 2
RIO
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |