Fafe vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 0
FAF
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 1
SMA
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 3
BEL
9%
15%
76%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 0
BRI
90%
8%
3%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
FEL
2 - 1
FAF
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TIR
2 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 3
PEV
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 1
TIR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
TIR
7%
15%
77%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TIR
1 - 2
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |