Fafe vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
6º
5º
26
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 2
FAF
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
2 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
FAF
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
AMA
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 0
FAF
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 1
SCP
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
SCP
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |