Fafe vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAF
1 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAF
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FAF
3 - 1
CES
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
FAF
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 2
FAF
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
SOU
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
FAM
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 2
SOU
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |