Fafe vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAF
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FAF
3 - 1
CES
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
FAF
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 2
FAF
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FAF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAR
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
LUS
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MIR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GOU
1 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |