Campeonato de Portugal . Final
Global 1-0
Fafe vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
FAF
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PED
1 - 1
FAF
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 1
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
FAF
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAS
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 1
CAS
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |