Segunda Liga Round 37

Fafe vs Benfica II analysis

Fafe Benfica II
55 ELO 61
1.2% Tilt -8.3%
4133º General ELO ranking 1225º
72º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
33.9%
Fafe
26.3%
Draw
39.8%
Benfica II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
Fafe
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.8%
Win probability
Benfica II
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fafe
-19%
+4%
Benfica II

ELO progression

Fafe
Benfica II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fafe
Fafe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2017
COV
Cova Piedade
3 - 1
Fafe
FAF
38%
28%
34%
57 54 3 0
09 Apr. 2017
FAF
Fafe
1 - 1
Famalicão
FAM
45%
27%
27%
56 59 3 +1
03 Apr. 2017
FAF
Fafe
1 - 2
Porto II
POR
33%
27%
41%
57 63 6 -1
19 Mar. 2017
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 1
Fafe
FAF
57%
25%
18%
57 63 6 0
15 Mar. 2017
FAF
Fafe
2 - 4
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
36%
27%
38%
58 62 4 -1

Matches

Benfica II
Benfica II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2017
BEN
Benfica II
2 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
60%
23%
18%
59 59 0 0
08 Apr. 2017
SPC
SC Covilha
2 - 0
Benfica II
BEN
44%
27%
29%
60 62 2 -1
02 Apr. 2017
BEN
Benfica II
0 - 4
União Madeira
UNM
50%
24%
26%
61 64 3 -1
19 Mar. 2017
PEN
Penafiel
2 - 1
Benfica II
BEN
40%
27%
34%
62 60 2 -1
15 Mar. 2017
BEN
Benfica II
2 - 3
Portimonense
POR
37%
27%
36%
63 71 8 -1