Fafe vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FAF
2 - 1
CAM
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FAF
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 0
FAF
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FAF
2 - 1
VAR
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GFC
1 - 3
FAF
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
4 - 0
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
CES
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 2
AMA
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 1
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |