Faetano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
49.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
FAE
1 - 5
TPE
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 0
TPE
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 1
DOM
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
COS
68%
18%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |