Facinas vs Ilusión Algeciras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Facinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CON
0 - 4
FAC
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAC
2 - 4
UDB
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 4
FAC
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FAC
6 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
FAC
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilusión Algeciras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ILU
2 - 1
PAG
70%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
ILU
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ILU
3 - 1
ALM
42%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
XER
3 - 2
ILU
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ILU
5 - 1
ELB
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +2 |