Fabriano Cerreto vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 1
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FAB
0 - 2
JES
30%
22%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
FAB
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
OLY
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
PIN
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 3
USN
86%
11%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIN
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |