Fabrègues vs Agde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAB
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 0
FAB
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FAB
3 - 0
FUR
46%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SCT
0 - 0
FAB
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AGD
0 - 0
NIM
35%
25%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 3
AGD
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AGD
1 - 1
AUB
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 2
AGD
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
AGD
55%
25%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |