Île-Rousse Monticello vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Île-Rousse Monticello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AGD
2 - 1
ILE
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ILE
1 - 1
FAB
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NIM
2 - 2
ILE
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
OLY
3 - 1
ILE
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ILE
0 - 3
BAS
53%
21%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 2
EVI
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ANN
0 - 0
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AUB
2 - 5
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
AIX
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SCR
0 - 2
SPO
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |