FA 2000 U21 vs Tarnby U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000 U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
4 - 1
FAS
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
FAS
3 - 1
BSF
52%
20%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
VAN
0 - 3
FAS
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
FAS
4 - 3
BOL
41%
21%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LSF
3 - 1
FAS
25%
20%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Tarnby U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
TAR
3 - 1
FRA
47%
20%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 2
FRA
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 3
AIF
46%
21%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
HSU
3 - 0
TAR
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
NYK
7 - 0
TAR
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |