Extremadura vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
DBN
2 - 0
EXT
30%
28%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
EXT
3 - 0
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
EXT
1 - 0
83%
12%
6%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
COR
1 - 4
EXT
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 3
EXT
16%
24%
61%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAD
4 - 1
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
DPC
0 - 0
MAD
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAD
18%
24%
58%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
CPL
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDZ
2 - 0
MAD
41%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |