Express SC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 0
EXP
48%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 1
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 2
EXP
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
EXP
2 - 1
NEC
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 0
MFC
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCV
5 - 0
UPD
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
SCV
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIP
2 - 1
SCV
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 1
BUL
45%
25%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |