Express SC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 2
EXP
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 2
VIP
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BUL
0 - 1
EXP
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
EXP
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 2
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 3
WAK
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 0
UGA
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
UPD
2 - 1
SCV
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
SCV
0 - 2
VIP
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
VIP
1 - 1
SCV
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |