Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 1
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
TFC
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 0
PER
24%
29%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
AME
3 - 1
TFC
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
CUC
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
QUI
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 0
CAR
23%
25%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
RSC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |