Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
SMA
47%
27%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
FEN
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ARR
3 - 4
EXC
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
LAM
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
VSC
1 - 0
ALE
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
VSC
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LAF
2 - 2
VSC
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
VSC
2 - 1
SAC
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
VSC
2 - 1
CAÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |