Excursionistas vs JJ Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
1 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 2
ARR
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
LUJ
0 - 3
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
BER
26%
27%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAC
0 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
JJU
4 - 2
ARM
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LAF
3 - 3
JJU
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
JJU
2 - 0
DAL
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SBA
1 - 1
JJU
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
JJU
3 - 0
ALE
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |