Excursionistas vs Fénix Bs As analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
MID
1 - 3
EXC
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 0
SBA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 1
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
JJU
1 - 1
EXC
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SMG
2 - 2
EXC
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
4 - 2
POR
53%
27%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 3
FEN
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FEN
3 - 1
CAD
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LAF
1 - 1
FEN
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |