Excelsior Virton vs Stockay-Warfusée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
31
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
EXC
46%
23%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOK
3 - 1
EXC
16%
19%
66%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
UNF
74%
16%
9%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
4 - 0
EXC
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stockay-Warfusée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STO
5 - 1
NAM
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
STO
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STO
4 - 1
BEL
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
4 - 1
STO
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VER
2 - 1
STO
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |