Excelsior Virton vs Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
HUY
0 - 1
EXC
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
EXC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TOU
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 0
GEA
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
TIE
52%
25%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
TIE
0 - 1
BOC
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 1
TOU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CIN
3 - 0
BOC
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
4 - 1
GEA
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WOL
0 - 3
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |