Excelsior U19 vs Willem II U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 1
EXC
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
GRA
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FDB
4 - 1
EXC
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BVB
1 - 4
EXC
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AMC
5 - 2
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 2
AZE
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RAP
0 - 0
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
HEE
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ADO
6 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |