Excelsior Sub 21 vs Dordrecht Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 1
EXC
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
ROD
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
DBS
4 - 2
EXC
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
72%
15%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
RKC
6 - 1
EXC
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dordrecht Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 4
FOR
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
VVV
4 - 0
DOR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 4
FCE
59%
18%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
NEC
4 - 4
DOR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 1
NAC
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |