Excelsior U18 vs Willem II U18 analysis


25	ELO	26
0.9%	Tilt	-1.2%
44919º	General ELO ranking	44921º
786º	Country ELO ranking	788º
ELO win probability

46.8%

Excelsior U18

21.4%

Draw

31.7%

Willem II U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

46.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%

21.4%

Draw

0-0

2.6%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

21.4%

31.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%