Q. Europa League Final
Global 3-0
Excelsior Mouscron vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 0
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 1
GEN
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
APO
0 - 0
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
SDL
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
EEA
0 - 0
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
APO
0 - 0
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
APO
3 - 0
MYP
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
MYP
1 - 1
APO
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
APO
0 - 1
ENO
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
OMO
2 - 0
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |