Excelsior Kaart vs Berg en Dal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Kaart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
KAA
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
KAA
3 - 2
DEK
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REB
2 - 0
KAA
36%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
KAA
1 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
KAA
2 - 1
NIL
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Berg en Dal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BED
2 - 0
DUF
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HOU
3 - 0
BED
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BED
2 - 2
GRK
51%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 1
BED
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NIL
1 - 0
BED
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |