Excelsior .31 vs BVV Barendrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 6
KAT
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 3
KOZ
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
BVV Barendrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
LIS
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JOD
1 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NOO
0 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
IJS
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RIJ
1 - 3
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |