Excelsior .31 vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 4
EXC
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
WVF
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
URK
3 - 3
EXC
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVO
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
EXC
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
APE
1 - 0
WHC
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
STA
3 - 2
APE
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
APE
0 - 1
FLE
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 0
APE
37%
24%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
APE
2 - 0
DVS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |