Excelsior .20 vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HVV
1 - 1
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 1
EXC
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCB
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 3
RKA
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCN
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
RKA
3 - 1
VUC
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VUC
1 - 1
FCB
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VVH
0 - 2
VUC
38%
24%
37%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VUC
4 - 1
GDA
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VUC
3 - 2
HVV
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |