Excelsior .20 vs RKDEO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UVS
0 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
SCN
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAG
6 - 2
EXC
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
KOC
4 - 2
EXC
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
RKDEO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RKD
1 - 2
SJC
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PFC
5 - 0
RKD
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RKD
2 - 2
FCB
7%
15%
78%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NIE
3 - 0
RKD
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RKD
1 - 2
DEM
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | -1 |