Excelsior .20 vs HVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCN
1 - 3
EXC
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
UVS
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
EXC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 2
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
HVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UVS
7 - 2
HVV
72%
17%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HVV
1 - 1
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 0
HVV
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
HVV
1 - 1
QUI
25%
24%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HVV
1 - 2
ADO
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |