Ex Alumnos 185 vs Jorge Gibson Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 0
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 3
ALU
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
RES
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Jorge Gibson Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
2 - 0
COL
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
JGB
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
JGB
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
JGB
2 - 1
TEX
5%
15%
81%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | +5 |